Conditions at Manzanillo in October
October: Peak South Swell, Light Winds
October rivals September for the best surf of the year. SW swell is dominant at 42.6 percent, SSW adds 29.4 percent, and WSW contributes 7.0 percent -- again, nearly 80 percent of wave energy comes from the optimum direction. Periods remain long at 12.7 seconds, and the 1-1.5m (3-5ft) category is packed full, with 30.7 percent from SW and 20.8 percent from SSW. There are also small but meaningful doses of 1.5-2m (5-7ft) and even a trace of overhead-plus energy from WSW and SW. Wind remains exceptional for the tropics: ideal offshore wind at 33 percent, ENE winds down to 44.2 percent, and enough SW/W wind to keep things variable but generally light. The increased presence of WSW swell often comes from Eastern Pacific tropical cyclones, adding an extra and sometimes more powerful dimension. Rainfall peaks at 7.99 mm/day, air temps are 27.4°C and water temp is a warm 28.4°C -- keep an eye on the radar, but the ocean usually delivers.
Average Spot conditions at Manzanillo in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Manzanillo during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Manzanillo for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Manzanillo for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Manzanillo.