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El Silencio • Statistics for January

Conditions at El Silencio in January

January: A New Year of Long-Period Foundations

The new year starts with the heart of the Peruvian summer upon us. Swell energy is built mostly by long-period SSW groundswell, with SSW accounting for 71% of the recorded wave direction and SW adding another 27%. Average wave heights are only around 4-5ft (1.4m), but periods of 13.0s mean the ocean is still moving plenty of water. Most waves fall in the 3-6ft (1-2m) window, with a focus on the 1-1.5m class, so it is more rippable than heavy.

Winds remain the obstacle. Southerly flow dominates: S, SSW, and SW make up over 80% of all wind readings, and ideal offshore windows from NNE/NE/ENE/E sit at only 2%. The good news is that most winds are light, with only a few moderate pulses from SSW/SW. Air temperatures average 20.6°C and water is 19.0°C, so early-morning sessions in a thin spring suit are comfortable. On the rare dawn with a light E breeze, the SSW swell lines can be glassy and fun before the afternoon southerly kicks in.

Average Spot conditions at El Silencio in January

Swell history for January

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for January

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at El Silencio during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at El Silencio for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at El Silencio for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at El Silencio.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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