Conditions at El Silencio in July
July: Midwinter Power and the S-Swell Factor
July is El Silencio at its most demanding. The average swell height holds at around 6-7ft (1.9m), and the period remains respectable at 12.8s. A key change is the increasing presence of S swell, which reaches nearly 18% of the direction distribution - the highest of the year so far. While S swell is less direct than SSW for this southwest-facing beach, it still puts energy into the water, often mixing with SSW to create a slightly more inconsistent but heavier wave. There are plenty of 6.5-8ft (2-2.5m) sets, and the outer sandbars feel the full weight of the South Pacific.
Wind conditions are chronically onshore and cross-shore. SSW and S winds together make up 78% of the rose, and ideal offshore wind sits at 1%. The 10-20kph wind class from SSW is common, which puts a persistent chop on the face. Water temperature falls to 15.9°C, air to 16.9°C, and the desert coast remains dry. July is about lowering expectations and waiting for that short-lived dawn patrol window when the southerly has not yet reached full strength.
Average Spot conditions at El Silencio in July
Swell history for July
Wind history for July
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at El Silencio during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at El Silencio for your next trip in July.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at El Silencio for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at El Silencio.