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Conditions at Penascal in January
January: A Summer Window of Opportunity
January is one of the better months to surf Penascal, despite an average swell height of only 1.4m (4.6ft). The swell window is incredibly clean in direction: SSW delivers 71.3% of all events and SW adds another 27.5%, with negligible contribution from S or WSW. Periods average a strong 13.0s, so even the 4-5ft (1.2-1.5m) sets carry real Southern Ocean power. The main limitation is wind. S and SSW winds together account for 78.6% of observations, but they are mostly in the light to moderate 0-20kph range. The 1% of ideal wind from the NNE/NE/E sector is the smallest of statistical crumbs, yet it tends to appear in early morning or evening windows. With warm air around 20.6°C and sea surface temperature at 19.0°C, January remains a comfortable month to wait for those rare glassy moments.
Average Spot conditions at Penascal in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Penascal during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Penascal for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Penascal for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Penascal.