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Penascal • Statistics for October

Conditions at Penascal in October

October: Spring Swell Recharge

October is a pivotal month. The average swell height eases slightly to 1.8m (5.9ft), but the period jumps back up to 13.2s and the direction re-focuses strongly on SSW at 86.6%. This is a good sign: the offshore storm tracks are still active enough to send long-period Southern Ocean groundswell, and the S component drops to 7.4%. The wave-height distribution remains excellent, with 52.6% in the 1.5-2m (5-6.5ft) range and 21.2% at 2-2.5m (6.5-8ft). Surface conditions, however, are still compromised by the cooler-season wind regime. SSW (48.1%) and S (44.0%) dominate, all in the 10-20kph range, and ideal offshore wind is 0%. With sea surface temperature holding at 15.2°C and air at 17.1°C, October is a month for dedicated surfers who can pick off the rare clean dawn set.

Average Spot conditions at Penascal in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Penascal during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Penascal for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Penascal for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Penascal.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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