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Pencit Reef • Statistics for November

Conditions at Pencit Reef in November

November: Size Returns, Wind Turns Nasty

November is a cruisy but tricky month. The average swell height jumps to 1.3m (4.3ft) and the period is 9.9s. The swell rose is textbook for Pencit Reef: NE 60.7%, ENE 24.3%, NNE 9.5%. A large portion of the wave energy is in the 1-2m (3-6.5ft) range, with a few bigger NE pulses on the way. The reef begins to show proper winter character - faster, steeper, and more powerful.

The problem is wind. As the northeast monsoon establishes, N/NE/ENE winds reappear strongly, and ideal offshore flow collapses to only 12% of the time. That means many days have good swell but bumpy, onshore surface conditions. Still, the mix of low-latitude storms and the onset of the monsoon often creates short, punchy windows of offshore S-SW wind in the early morning. On those days, Pencit Reef can produce head-high-plus barrels. With water at 28.9°C and rainfall back up to 12mm/day, November is a chase-the-window month for the committed surfer.

Average Spot conditions at Pencit Reef in November

Swell history for November

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for November

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Pencit Reef during November. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Pencit Reef for your next trip in November.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Pencit Reef for November. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Pencit Reef.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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