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Pencit Reef • Statistics for October

Conditions at Pencit Reef in October

October: The Sweet Spot Arrives

October is arguably the best month of the year at Pencit Reef. Average swell height rises to 1.1m (3.6ft), average period jumps to 10.2s, and the NE source becomes dominant again: NE 49.1%, NNE 20%, ENE 14.2%, with N/NNW adding a bit of variety. Crucially, the larger-window percentages tilt toward 1-1.5m (3-5ft), with some 1.5-2m (5-6.5ft) NE sets - exactly what a reef needs for hollow, pitching waves.

Wind is still in transition, which is good. The ideal S-SW wind share is around 35%, and the monsoon NE winds are not yet relentless like mid-winter. Many days offer dawn offshore winds, then a pleasant onshore seabreeze. If you pick your windows, October delivers the best wave quality-to-size ratio of the year. The ocean is warm at 29.3°C, air temps are 27.9°C, and rainfall remains moderate at 8.3mm/day. This is the month to book your trip.

Average Spot conditions at Pencit Reef in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Pencit Reef during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Pencit Reef for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Pencit Reef for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Pencit Reef.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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