Conditions at Tuason Point in January
January: Big Northeast Monsoon Swell, Rare Windows
January is the zenith of the Northeast Monsoon in the Philippines. The wind rose shows a relentless ENE/NE flow, with 26.2% from NE and 28.9% from ENE, much of it blowing at 20-30kph. These winds are directly onshore at Tuason Point, which faces east-southeast, so conditions are mostly chopped and bumpy.
The swell, however, is solid. Average wave height hits 1.7m (5.6ft) with an average period of 9.5 seconds - average, punchy stuff. Nearly 58% of that swell arrives from the NE and another 30% from the ENE, both of which push long, angled lines toward the point but not in the ideal E/ESE/SE window. Offshore W-NW winds occur only 5% of the time, so catching a clean day requires a strong low pressure in the South China Sea to flip the flow. When it happens, expect firing 4-6ft (1.2-1.8m) peaks with water temperature around 27.7°C and air temps in the high 20s. Heavy monsoon rains at 16.3 mm/day further limit the number of huntable sessions.
Average Spot conditions at Tuason Point in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Tuason Point during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Tuason Point for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Tuason Point for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Tuason Point.