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Cape Town • Statistics for January

Conditions at Cape Town in January

January: The Cape Doctor Takes Over

January is peak summer at the Cape, with the South Atlantic high locking in strong southeasterly flow. The wind rose shows SSE winds at 35.4%, SE at 15.8% and due S at 18.0%, so this NW-facing beach sees plenty of offshore eastern-southerly conditions. The catch is wind speed: once the Doctor kicks into the 20-40kph range, the surface becomes bumpy, which is why only 28% of the time winds are truly ideal. Swell averages 7-8ft (2.1-2.4m) with a long 11.1s period, and the dominant direction is SW (27.6%) with strong SSW (17.8%) and S (10.6%) contributions. There is almost no pure N/NW groundswell, so those S/SW pulses wrap into the bay. Air temperatures reach 20.0°C, rain is minimal at 0.39mm/day, and water temperature sits at 14.8°C. Expect clean dawn sessions, fun rippable surf, and afternoon corduroy blown out by the seabreeze.

Average Spot conditions at Cape Town in January

Swell history for January

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for January

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cape Town during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cape Town for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cape Town for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cape Town.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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