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Tolcarne • Statistics for July

Conditions at Tolcarne in July

July: Flat Spells, Tiny Waves, Warm Water

July represents the annual low point in Tolcarne's swell calendar. Average wave height bottoms out at 3ft (1.0m) and period drops to 8.3 seconds - the shortest of the year. The W swell direction still dominates absolutely, accounting for 49% of all readings, with WNW another 21%, but the 2-3ft (0.5-1m) range is the single biggest bucket, and only a small fraction reach 5-6ft. It is small, grovelly and largely dependent on windswell.

Wind quality is also at its worst: ideal offshore winds blow just 19% of the time, while NNW/NW/WNW onshore flow accounts for over 33% of observations. When the ocean does cooperate, though, the warmest water of the year (16.7°C) and pleasant air temperatures (16.4°C) make for playful summer surf. Look for early morning glass-offs and small west pulses; otherwise, it is a good month for a longboard, a foamy and cold refreshments.

Average Spot conditions at Tolcarne in July

Swell history for July

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for July

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Tolcarne during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Tolcarne for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Tolcarne for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Tolcarne.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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