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Tolcarne • Statistics for October

Conditions at Tolcarne in October

October: The North Atlantic Roars Back to Life

October marks the true start of Tolcarne's prime season. Average swell size jumps to 5ft (1.6m) and the period extends to 10.3 seconds, signaling a shift toward longer-period, more powerful surf. W swell drives 37% of the distribution, WSW adds 15% and WNW contributes 13%, with a solid share of 4-8ft (1.2-2.4m) waves. The autumn storm track is firing, and the UK sits right in the crosshairs of Atlantic low pressure systems that march east across Cornwall.

Favorable offshore wind is measured at 26% of the time - the highest of any month - thanks to frequent post-frontal high pressure and southerly/southwesterly airflow ahead of approaching fronts. Air temperatures are still mild at 13.1°C, water temp is a workable 14.9°C, and rainfall begins to climb to 3.70 mm/day. October is when the magic happens: sometimes it is big and stormy, but the windows of sunny skies, light winds and long-period W/NW swell are truly special.

Average Spot conditions at Tolcarne in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Tolcarne during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Tolcarne for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Tolcarne for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Tolcarne.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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