Conditions at Flagler Beach in January
January: Cold Fronts and Nor'easters
January is the heart of winter here, and the North Atlantic does not disappoint. The average swell height comes in at 0.7m (2.3ft) with a punchy 8.0s period, meaning most surf is in the rideable wind-swell category. The wave rose shows a strong E component at 18.5%, with NE and ENE each contributing 14.3% and NNE adding 10.2% - that puts about 57% of the total swell energy in the productive quadrant for Flagler. The main problem is the wind: NNW is the most common direction at 12.7%, and NNE winds run 7.7%, so onshore and cross-onshore days are common. Still, ideal wind blows from SSW-SW-WSW-W a solid 30% of the time, and when a strong cold front sweeps through and the pressure gradient tightens, January can deliver clean, 3-5ft (0.9-1.5m) NE groundswell with offshore west winds. Water temperature sits at 18.5°C (65°F), so a 4/3 wetsuit is your friend.
Average Spot conditions at Flagler Beach in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Flagler Beach during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Flagler Beach for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Flagler Beach for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Flagler Beach.