Conditions at Middleton in February
February: Warmest Seas, Summer's Last Gasp
February mirrors January's energy at Middleton - the average swell remains 1.4m (4.6ft), the period sits at 11.2s, and the direction table stays stubbornly south-western: SSW 59.7%, SW 19.1%, S 18.9%. There is no shortage of groundswell, but it tends to roll through in short, punchy 3-5ft (1-1.5m) sets, broken up by occasional larger slabs from the S and SSW windows.
The wind forecast is again the limiting factor. The sea-breeze machine is running at full tilt, with SSE (22.5%) and S (20.2%) dominating the rose, while offshore flow (N, NNE, NE, NNW) is rationed to just 18% of the time. This is the warmest month of the year - water peaks at 20.0°C and air averages 20.3°C - so the ocean is welcoming even when the surface texture is not. For a surfer, February is about scoring early, threading the offshore morning windows, and accepting that the afternoon will likely be a battle against the southerly blades.
Average Spot conditions at Middleton in February
Swell history for February
Wind history for February
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Middleton during February. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Middleton for your next trip in February.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Middleton for February. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Middleton.