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Conditions at Middleton in October
October: Late-Season Gems
October is a month of diminishing consistency but still-explosive potential. The average swell is a solid 1.4m (4.6ft) at 12.0s, and the directional split is nearly perfect for the exposure: SSW 43.1% and SW 42.4%, with S adding another 4.4%. Heights remain excellent, with 20.6% of the SSW swell in the 1-1.5m (3.3-4.9ft) band and 13.1% in the 1.5-2m (4.9-6.6ft) class, alongside 19.2% from the SW in the 1.5-2m range. If you time the windows well, October can still deliver winter-quality sessions.
But the wind is shifting. Ideal offshore flow drops to 29%, and the onshore sector - SSE (9.5%), S (9.5%), SSW (8.2%) and SW (8.1%) - begins to reassert itself as inland heating ramps up. Water temperature climbs to 15.3°C, air to 14.9°C and rainfall plummets to 1.08 mm/day. It is spring in the truest sense: warm air, tricky wind, and plenty of ocean energy if you know where to look.
Average Spot conditions at Middleton in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Middleton during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Middleton for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Middleton for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Middleton.