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Lances Left • Statistics for October

Conditions at Lances Left in October

October: The Monsoon Flip Begins

October is a transition month with a foot in both seasons. The average wave height slips back to 3ft (0.9m), period is 12.6s, and ideal wind is 40%. Swell is still SSW-dominated (46%), with S (28%) and SW (15%) as secondary players, and the 1-1.5m (3-5ft) class remains at 26%. The wind field becomes more variable: SE (19%) and SSE (15%) still supply clean sessions, but NW (9%) and NNW (10%) are reappearing, and rainfall jumps to 9.5mm/day. Water is still warm at 28.7°C. October offers some excellent late-season swells, especially before the afternoon monsoon winds kick in, but consistency is starting to fade.

Average Spot conditions at Lances Left in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Lances Left during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Lances Left for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Lances Left for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Lances Left.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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