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Horseshoe • Statistics for July

Conditions at Horseshoe in July

July: Offshore Summer Glass

July continues the summer lull in wave height, with an average of just 2ft (0.7m) and the shortest average period of the year at 8.4s. The swell spectrum is a broad mix, led by ENE at 34.8% and E at 23.4%, but with a notable increase in westerly energy: WSW 6.5%, W 6.1% and SW 4.6% from the Habagat windsea. This is the least powerful month on paper, but what it lacks in size it partially makes up for in cleanliness.

Wind is now frequently offshore. The ideal wind percentage climbs to 33%, with W winds at 12.3%, WSW 8.5%, and WNW 6.8% making the east-facing Horseshoe remarkably glassy at times. The persistent SW monsoon flow, blended with sea-breeze cycles, creates long windows of clean, textured but small surf. This is a great time to work on technique, ride a high-volume board, and enjoy warm 29.5°C water with air temperatures around 27.9°C and about 6.9mm/day of rain. Scored by the right typhoon swell, July can occasionally surprise, but on average it is pure small-wave season.

Average Spot conditions at Horseshoe in July

Swell history for July

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for July

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Horseshoe during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Horseshoe for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Horseshoe for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Horseshoe.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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