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Conditions at Horseshoe in May
May: Small but Clean
May is where the surf drops into small-wave territory. Average height sits around 2-3ft (0.8m), the period eases to 9.1s, and the swell is overwhelmingly from the ENE - 66.7% - with a secondary E component of 14.4% and NE of 13.6%. In terms of size, the 2-3ft (0.5-1m) class accounts for the vast majority of the month, meaning Horseshoe becomes a groveling, high-tide-friendly wave. Longboarders and fish riders are in their element, but there is little to get excited about for someone looking for a proper thumper.
Wind conditions offer more chances for clean surf. The wind rose starts showing a broader spread, with ESE 20.3%, SE 18.1%, E 16.1%, and SSE 11.2%, but also an increase in W/WNW/WSW flow - enough to nudge the ideal-wind score up to 12%. These westerly flows are offshore at Horseshoe, making the small NE/ENE swell clean and glassy. With water temp climbing to 29.4°C, air 28.3°C, and rainfall down to 4.9mm/day, May is a pleasant small-wave month for logging plenty of fun, shuffling sessions.
Average Spot conditions at Horseshoe in May
Swell history for May
Wind history for May
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Horseshoe during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Horseshoe for your next trip in May.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Horseshoe for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Horseshoe.