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Conditions at Outer Kom in October
October: The Door Begins to Close on Winter Size
October sees the swell machine start to power down. Average height drops to 7.9ft (2.4m) and period shortens to 11.6s, although that is still within the long-period range. The direction mix reverts toward SW and SSW (20.0 and 15.7 percent), with WSW dropping back to 7.3 percent and S increasing to 10.3 percent. There is still decent energy, but it is less consistent and less ideally aligned than late autumn.
Wind is increasingly controlled by the South Atlantic High. SE jumps to 24.2 percent, SSE to 16.1 percent, and S to 9.2 percent. The strong afternoon Doctor is back, and the ideal wind percentage falls to 9 percent. Mornings can be clean and glassy, while afternoons are often lumpy from the SE at 30-50kph. Water temp is 16.1°C, air 16.2°C, and rainfall has eased to 0.98mm/day. A changeable month, but nowhere near the reliability of May through August.
Average Spot conditions at Outer Kom in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Outer Kom during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Outer Kom for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Outer Kom for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Outer Kom.