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Conditions at Vairao in November
November: Rising Moisture, Renewed Hope
November is a transition month in earnest. Average surf size drops to 6ft (1.8m) and period pulls back to 11.7s, but the swell direction begins to feel a little less one-dimensional. The SSE and S quadrants still dominate at 28.2% and 24.9%, with SE at 20.5% and SSW at 12.0%. The total SW-WNW share is still small, around 2.0%, but the seasonal pattern is starting to shift as the South Pacific cyclone season begins to stir.
Winds are more cooperative, with ideal offshore flow at 36% and the E/ESE trades gently grooming the surface. Water temperature climbs to 27.4°C, air temps average 26.1°C, and rainfall increases to 3.68mm/day-the first signs of the rainy season. November still requires some patience at Vairao, but the combination of warmer water, lighter winds, and a gradually shifting swell angle makes it a far more appealing month than the midwinter grind.
Average Spot conditions at Vairao in November
Swell history for November
Wind history for November
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Vairao during November. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Vairao for your next trip in November.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Vairao for November. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Vairao.