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First Point • Statistics for October

Conditions at First Point in October

October: Autumn Swell and Clean Offshore Flow

October is a transitional gem at First Point. Average swell height drops slightly to 0.7m (2.3ft), but the average period rises to a deep 12.9s - the highest of the year - giving the ocean a sense of power even when the faces are modest. The direction mix is still favorable: WSW (38.8%), SW (34.9%), and SSW (9.3%) make up a strong south-southwest bias, while W (16.4%) starts to grow as the North Pacific wakes up. Wind quality continues to improve as the fall pattern develops. Ideal wind reaches 54%, with offshore NNE (8.3%), NNW (6.8%), N (2.8%), and NW (5.4%) directions becoming more common. The air cools to 19.6°C, water temps remain warm at 17.1°C, and rainfall is still low at 0.56 mm/day. October is one of those months where long-period south groundswell mixes with clean northerly morning winds, producing some of the most rippable point surf of the year - mostly 2-4ft (0.6-1.2m), but occasionally better when a late-season southern pulse aligns.

Average Spot conditions at First Point in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at First Point during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at First Point for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at First Point for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at First Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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