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Conditions at Flagler Avenue in October
October: Big Swell, Onshore Wind Battle
October is a study in trade-offs. The average swell height is 4-5ft (1.3m) with an 8.4s period, and the swell orientation is nearly perfect: ENE leads at 34.9%, E is 24.9%, NE is 17.5%, and NNE is 5.7%. The frequency of 5-7ft (1.5-2m) and 6-8ft (2-2.5m) waves from the NE/ENE sectors is at its highest of the year so far. The problem is wind. This is the worst month for wind cleanliness - ideal wind only 23 percent of the time, the lowest of the year. NE (13.0%), ENE (16.1%) and NNE (10.9%) winds blow onshore and add a lot of surface chop to otherwise solid swell. Water remains warm at 26.8°C (80°F), air temps are a mild 25.4°C (78°F), and the average rainfall has dropped back to 3.32 mm/day. Pick your windows carefully.
Average Spot conditions at Flagler Avenue in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Flagler Avenue during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Flagler Avenue for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Flagler Avenue for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Flagler Avenue.