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Jake's Point • Statistics for January

Conditions at Jake's Point in January

January: A Summer Lull with Soggy SSW Lines

January is a transitional grind at Jake's Point. The average wave height sits around 6ft (1.9m), but the average period drops to just 9.1s, so most of that energy is short-period, crumbly SSW swell. In fact, SSW (56%), S (22%) and SW (10%) combine for the vast majority of the wave energy. The WNW-facing beach loves W/NW lines, so this south-heavy mixture lacks the push and structure needed to make the point fire.

Winds are the bigger issue. Ideal offshore flow from ENE, E, ESE or SE is present only 18% of the time. Instead, S and SSE winds dominate - a combined 60% of the wind rose - creating persistent cross-shore and textural conditions. Add summer heat with air temps around 27.1°C, water temp at 23.3°C and low rainfall, and you get small, grovelly, sometimes punchy conditions for the patient summer crew.

Average Spot conditions at Jake's Point in January

Swell history for January

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for January

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Jake's Point during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Jake's Point for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Jake's Point for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Jake's Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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