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Conditions at Jake's Point in October
October: Fading Consistency But Still Plenty of Bite
October is a classic shoulder month. The average period eases to 11.1s, height is still 6ft (1.9m), and the swell mix is built around SSW (42%) and SW (32%), with WSW at 5%. The westerly windows are shrinking, but the Southern Ocean is still active enough to deliver solid, rideable groundswell.
Wind becomes more of a challenge: ideal offshore flow falls to 24%, while S (25.7%) and SSE (20.7%) dominate, creating cross-offshore and cross-shore conditions. SE (10.0%), ESE (4.7%) and E (2.7%) do still appear, especially in the morning. Air temps rebound to 20.1°C, water temp holds at 20.1°C, and rainfall stays low. October requires a flexible approach - the swell is there, but you'll need to find the offshore windows.
Average Spot conditions at Jake's Point in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Jake's Point during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Jake's Point for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Jake's Point for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Jake's Point.