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Playa Nosara • Statistics for January

Conditions at Playa Nosara in January

January: Trade Wind Groomers and Mixed-Minded Swell

January serves up a classic Costa Rican dry-season mix. The average combination of 4ft (1.3m) at 11.5 seconds is still a long-period swell by tropical standards, but the direction is split between fading North Pacific pulses from the NNW through WNW and early Southern Hemisphere SSW/SW energy. The SSW and SW sectors combine for roughly 30% of the total spectrum, while NW/NNW and W/WNW sources add another 34%, meaning the swell window is wide but not always perfectly aimed at Playa Nosara.

The real star of January is the wind. A strong Caribbean high-pressure system drives the Papagayo trade winds out of the NNE and NE 54% of the time, often blowing 20-30kph. That offshore flow rakes the southwest-facing lineup clean for 43% of the month. When an 11-12 second SSW/SW groundswell lines up with those offshore trades, Playa Nosara offers clean, rippable 3-5ft (0.9-1.5m) waves. On days when NW or NE swell dominates, expect more mixed, less organized surf - and when light westerly sea breezes kick up in the afternoon, the surface gets a little lumpy.

At 28°C water temperature and just 0.23mm/day of rainfall, it is full beach-resort weather. The dry and sunny conditions make January a great month for logging waves on a bigger board and learning the lineup, but you will be chasing the smaller windows when the swell direction truly aligns.

Average Spot conditions at Playa Nosara in January

Swell history for January

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for January

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Playa Nosara during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Playa Nosara for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Playa Nosara for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Playa Nosara.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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