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San Pancho • Statistics for September

Conditions at San Pancho in September

September: Tropical Storm Energy Brings Rare Power to the SW Swell

September is the most interesting month of the summer low season, thanks to the peak of the eastern Pacific tropical cyclone season. Average swell height is 1.1m (3.5ft) and average period is 13.0s - still long. The wave rose is again dominated by SW (59.9%), SSW (24.2%) and WSW (14.4%), with W at only 0.7%. That means the overall direction remains poor for San Pancho, but the distribution extends into larger classes: 1.5-2m (5-6.5ft) readings appear from SSW (2.3%), SW (2.8%) and WSW (1.1%), and even 2-2.5m (6.5-8ft) from SSW/SW/WSW. When a tropical cyclone or its remnants line up southwest of the spot, the bay can suddenly see pulsing, long-period swell with real size - though the angle is still not ideal. Winds are favourable 40% of the time, with light offshore flows common. The trade-off is the weather: heavy rain (11.10 mm/day), air temps of 28.2°C and water at 30.3°C make it humid, stormy and unpredictable. Keep an eye on the tropics; September can surprise.

Average Spot conditions at San Pancho in September

Swell history for September

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for September

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at San Pancho during September. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at San Pancho for your next trip in September.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at San Pancho for September. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at San Pancho.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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