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Conditions at Senoritas in October
October: Long-Period Swell Under a Windlock
October still delivers serious South Pacific groundswell, but the atmosphere overhead is wearing the same stubborn onshore pattern. Average height eases only slightly to 1.8m (6ft), while the period stretches back up to 13.2 seconds. The directional spread tightens even more toward SSW - 87 percent of all swell energy - with 46 percent of waves in the head-high-plus 1.5-2m (5-7ft) range and another 19 percent in the 2-2.5m (7-8ft) class. If you only looked at the wave rose, October would be a prime month. But the wind rose tells a different story: ideal offshore wind remains at just 1 percent, and S/SSW/SW flow controls nearly 92 percent of the time. The result is a frustrating mix of pumping swell and subpar surface conditions. Patience pays off when a migrating South Pacific low pulls the wind around to the E/NE for a few hours - those windows can produce the most powerful waves of the spring. Water temp is still cold at 15.2°C (59°F), but the air is beginning to warm.
Average Spot conditions at Senoritas in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Senoritas during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Senoritas for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Senoritas for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Senoritas.