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Conditions at Victoria Bay in February
February: Trade Wind Grip and Groundswell Pulses
February looks similar to January but with a slightly stronger southwest swell signal. ESE winds remain the dominant wind at 20%, and combined with E/SE flow they keep the bay wind-blown for most of the day; ideal offshore winds remain scarce at 23%. The average swell height is 7ft (2.2m) and period 10.9s, so there is real power in the water, but local conditions need morning scheduling to be clean.
Swell direction data shows SSW swell at 29%, S at 16%, and SSE at 10%, giving the preferred ESE-S quadrant a 39% share - the largest of the summer months. Most surf is in the solid 5-8ft (1.5-2.5m) range, and the more southerly groundswell can wrap nicely once a west-northwest wind cleans it up. Air temps average 21.3°C, water temps ease to 20.4°C, and precipitation ticks up to 1.29mm/day, so expect a mix of morning clean windows and afternoon onshore bumps.
Average Spot conditions at Victoria Bay in February
Swell history for February
Wind history for February
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Victoria Bay during February. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Victoria Bay for your next trip in February.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Victoria Bay for February. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Victoria Bay.