- Home
- ...Africa
South Africa- Victoria Bay
Conditions at Victoria Bay in October
October: Changeable Shoulder Season and Building ESE-S Swells
October hands the keys back to springtime variability. The ideal wind frequency drops to 31%, and the ESE trade wind is once again the most common wind at 15%, with E at 12% and SW at 9%. Average swell height eases slightly to 8ft (2.4m) and period drops to 10.9s, a sign that the winter-only southwest behemoths are beginning to fade.
The good news is the preferred swell window is back: the direct ESE-S quadrant accounts for 30% of all waves, with S at 10%, SSE 8%, SE 7%, and ESE 6%. SSW at 17% and SW at 15% still contribute plenty of size, and when a light offshore N/NNW wind coincides with a south-southeast groundswell, Victoria Bay can fire with clean, playful waves in the 5-8ft (1.5-2.4m) range. Water and air both sit around 16.9°C, and rainfall matches the spring unsettledness at 1.53mm/day.
Average Spot conditions at Victoria Bay in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Victoria Bay during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Victoria Bay for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Victoria Bay for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Victoria Bay.