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Victoria Bay • Statistics for November

Conditions at Victoria Bay in November

November: The Trade Wind Return

November is the beginning of the summer trade-wind lockdown. Ideal offshore wind conditions fall to 26%, and the wind rose is once again dominated by ESE at 16%, E at 11%, and SE at 9% - all onshore at this exposed southeast-facing nook. The morning hours before the sea breeze are still worth chasing, but the percentage of all-day clean surf shrinks quickly.

Swell height averages 7.5ft (2.3m) and period drops to 10.8s, keeping the surf fun but less thick and powerful. The SSE-S window is active - S at 10%, SSE 7%, SE 6%, ESE 5% - making up 29% of the total, while SSW at 23% and SW at 18% still supply the majority of the energy. Most days run in the 5-8ft (1.5-2.5m) range, with the direct southeasterly swells hungry for a rare offshore wind to turn them from bumpy to clean. Air temps warm to 18.1°C and water temp climbs to 18.1°C as the ocean begins its summer warm-up.

Average Spot conditions at Victoria Bay in November

Swell history for November

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for November

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Victoria Bay during November. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Victoria Bay for your next trip in November.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Victoria Bay for November. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Victoria Bay.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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