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Conditions at Victoria Bay in March
March: The Autumn Transition Begins
March marks the first real shift out of summer slop. The ideal wind percentage climbs to 29%, and while ESE winds still lead the pack at 17%, the wind rose begins to spread out a little more. Swell size holds at 7ft (2.2m) but the average period lengthens to 11.2s - a sign that more distant Southern Ocean storms are starting to influence the coast.
The swell mix still favours SSW at 27%, S at 17%, and SSE at 10%, with the preferred ESE-S quadrant around 38%. The most consistent height classes are 5-8ft (1.5-2.5m), so the raw material is there; the challenge remains locking in the offshore N-NNW window before the onshore ESE flow kicks in. Air temps cool to 20.1°C, water temp drops to 19.3°C, and rainfall edges up to 1.53mm/day as the first autumn cold fronts approach.
Average Spot conditions at Victoria Bay in March
Swell history for March
Wind history for March
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Victoria Bay during March. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Victoria Bay for your next trip in March.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Victoria Bay for March. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Victoria Bay.